Upsetting the Phony Balance of Power, which never existed, and will not be allowed to exist, absent the break-up of PNAC, CIA2/MOSSAD.

Geopolitical Crunch: Putin, Obama Chicago Thugs, Israel and the S-300 to Iran...

There has been extensive discussion of how U.S. President-elect Barack Obama might be tested early in his term by foreign powers, much as other presidents have been tested. If reports in the Russian media are correct, Obama’s first test is starting to take shape: According to RIA Novosti news agency, Russia is in the process of “implementing a contract” that would ultimately deliver the S-300 strategic air defense system to Iran.....Here's what's really going on :

For the USA to survive in one piece, the challenges are enormous to say the least, and likely insurmountable. Between its rising domestic woes and its overextension on the foreign policy front from DC/ PNAC to Iraq to Afghanistan, the Americans cannot continue to press ahead with their global ambitions for long without resolving their chronic status as international pariah. Before that reckoning becomes reality for the power behind the power in USA, the sliding economy is bound to affect the outcome of the presidential term completely, as of January 20th 2009, until January 20th 2012....since the PNAC KILLERS are broke, greedy and immoral. Barack Hussein Obama and his buddy Rahm Emanuel.... Chicago's paid thugs are toast, http://wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=83851 thus the power behind the power, and the USA's White House Murder Inc. are in quiet disbelief at their loss of wherewithal, but will attempt more murderous, savage assassinations to advance their goal of domineering the world again, but will eventually fail miserably. " Case in point, the Mumbai attacks and the Benazir Buttho assassination....made in PNAC, CIA2/MOSSAD Evil Axis....

Israel And Iran Scramble In The Shadows....but Putin sells the S300s to IRAN... Israel objects for show....because Putin always sells Arabs/Iran "sophisticated air defense systems", then turns around and gives MOSSAD all the necessary "Codes" and electronic tags...which will ensure that the system will not protect any country in times of war and invasions by Israeli Air Force, which will have at its disposal all the countermeasures to block these systems dead in its tracks. Latest case in point, the attack on Syria's facility in Dair Al-Zour, and I am sure that Putin has done the same with Iranian air defense systems bought from Russia....It's a kind of a Kremlin Insurance Policy made by AIG/CIA....

Since the revolution in 1979, Iran has become a key player not only in Persian Gulf politics but also in Central Asia and the Middle East at large. The Islamic Republic of Iran is currently at the centre of a global push-and-pull due to its geostrategic position and its interaction with local and global players. The main aim of the current leadership in Teheran is to preserve Iran’s privileged situation within a changing balance of power.

These rumors concerning the S-300 have been on-again, off-again for years, but RIA Novosti reported that, “Moscow has earlier met its obligations on supplying Tor-M1 systems to Iran and is currently implementing a contract to deliver S-300 systems.” The Russian news agency also quoted Alexander Fomin, deputy head of the federal agency in charge of Russia’s military exports, as saying that, “Russia’s military and technical cooperation with Iran has a positive impact on stability in this region.” Fomin added, “We have developed, are developing and will continue to develop this cooperation further. The region’s security to a large extent depends on this.” The report follows other reports that an Israeli military delegation traveled to Moscow in recent days to try to dissuade Russia from delivering the weapons.

The importance of the S-300 — specifically the more modern PMU series — is that it would increase the difficulty of air attacks on Iran. The first stage of any attack is the suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD). Except for in the case of a sudden attack on a single target, SEAD is a precursor of any sustained air campaign, and given the relatively large number of Iranian nuclear sites, taking out its facilities would involve such an extended campaign. Having to suppress a series of S-300PMU batteries would extend substantially the number of sorties and the time frame required for this phase of the attack.

This would affect both Israeli and American calculations. Given the size of Israel’s air force and the distances involved, the additional attrition and time involved in the SEAD phase might well extend the campaign beyond what Israel is capable of. It is not clear whether the S-300 would take a conventional Israeli option off the table, but it would certainly make things more difficult should Israel decide to carry out the attack. The United States would have greater ability to make such a move, but Washington’s recent agreement with Baghdad stipulates that Iraq cannot be used as a base for attacks against neighboring countries. And the Turks do not want the Americans to attack Iran from their soil. Put simply, the introduction of the S-300 would push the difficulty of a non-nuclear attack to the limit for Israel and complicate life for the United States.

Of course, this is what the Russians mean to do. We do not know what happened during the conversations U.S. Sen. Richard Lugar and former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger held in Moscow this weekend, but afterward, the Russians clearly decided to turn up the heat. Russia has shifted its position from not wanting to increase tensions through the sale of the S-300 to seeing the sale as stabilizing the region — which it would do at the expense of potentially reducing U.S. and Israeli options.

Moscow does not want the Iranians to have nuclear weapons, but the Russian view is that the Iranians are rather far away from having them. But the more important issue for Russia is forcing the Americans to recognize Moscow’s sphere of influence in the former Soviet Union by withdrawing their support for Ukraine, Georgia and other countries in the region. For the United States, the Iranian issue has been a priority. And the Russians have just made it clear that if the Americans do not give them what they want, they will complicate U.S. policy on Iran as much as they can.

Obama takes office in about a month. It is not clear what point the Russians have reached in actually transferring S-300s, but in a month’s time, they could be either on the verge of transferring or already in the process. That means Obama will be forced very quickly to respond to Russia’s action. His options include forcing some sort of confrontation with the Russians; doing nothing, and thus accepting Russia’s intrusion into a core American interest; moving rapidly to deal with Iran; or, and we doubt this intensely, moving to strike Iran before the S-300s become operational.

It may be that American defense analysts will conclude that the S-300 does not significantly affect the balance of power in the region. But the S-300 does affect the psychological balance. Iran will feel that it is far less isolated than the Americans want it to feel, and that change alone will have a significant effect. Whether viewed militarily or politically, Russia’s action matters.

This is not the Cuban Missile Crisis, but it is a significant challenge to American interests on Russia’s part. If Obama does nothing, he will be seen as weak; if he gives the Russians what they want, he will be seen as an appeaser. And if he moves toward a major crisis or even military action, he will be seen as overly aggressive. With this move, Russia’s aim was to push Obama into a corner and say, in Russian, “Welcome to the big league.”

www.stratforCIA1.com, the world's leading propaganda machine for the Gullible un-intelligence provider. For any questions or comments on this fake propaganda.... FDDC, etc. please write to analyassassins@stratforCIA1.com startfor is CIA, Texas funded and Texas based.....

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Upsetting the Phony Balance of Power, which never existed,
and will not be allowed to exist, absent the break-up
of PNAC, CIA2/MOSSAD.

The head of Israeli Defense Ministry’s Security-Diplomatic Bureau
visited the Kremlin this week, intent upon "congregating" with Russians
that equipping Iran, and perhaps Syria, with an upgraded version of
their S-300 air defense system "would disturb the balance of power in
the Middle East.".....this is for the media circus though...consider this:

What balance?

Israel And Iran Scramble In The Shadows.... Putin sells the S300s to IRAN... Israel objects for show....because Putin always sells Arabs/Iran "sophisticated air defense systems", then turns around and gives MOSSAD all the necessary "Codes" and electronic tags...which will ensure that the system will not protect any country in times of war and invasions by Israeli Air Force, which will have at its disposal all the countermeasures to block these systems dead in its tracks. Latest case in point, the attack on Syria's facility in Dair Al-Zour, and I am sure that Putin has done the same with Iranian air defense systems bought from Russia....It's a kind of a Kremlin Insurance Policy made by AIG/CIA2....of the PNAC killers of CIA/MOSSAD, hell bent on domineering the world with a tentacular Mafia, from Moscow to Mclean, Herzliah to the Mecca on the Potomac in DC. Damascus , Beirut and Tel-Aviv, and from Wall Street to Main Street USA to the City/MI666 on the Thames.

Now the Media circus can go on here below...:

The Russians had earlier supplied both Iran and Syria with the Tor-M1
short-range air defense system. Iran had positioned dozens of the
units around its nuclear facilities, all of which – including the
Russian-built about-to-be-fueled nuclear power plant at Bushehr – have
long been subject to a Safeguards Agreement with the International
Atomic Energy Agency.

Such protection shouldn’t have been necessary for an IAEA Safeguarded
facility. But the paranoid Israelis had already destroyed – in 1981 –
a French-built about-to-be-fueled IAEA Safeguarded nuclear reactor at
the Al Tuwaitha Nuclear Center in Iraq.

According to an official Israeli statement:

"The atomic bombs which that reactor was capable of producing –
whether from enriched uranium or from plutonium – would be of the
Hiroshima size. Thus a mortal danger to the people of Israel
progressively arose."

Of course, Osiraq would not have been capable of producing either
weapons-grade plutonium or enriched uranium at all.

Furthermore, as the Security Council noted in UNSCR 487, passed in the
immediate aftermath of the Israeli attack, being;

"Fully aware of the fact that Iraq has been a party to the Treaty on
the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons since it came into force in
1970, that, in accordance with that treaty, Iraq has accepted IAEA
safeguards on all its nuclear activities, and that the agency has
testified that these safeguards have been satisfactorily applied to
date."

And, after noting that under the terms of Article 2, paragraph 4, of
the Charter of the United Nations, the Security Council warned that

"All Members shall refrain in their international relations from the
threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political
independence of any State, or in any other manner inconsistent with
the Purposes of the United Nations"

Consequently, the Security Council

"Strongly condemns the military attack by Israel in clear violation of
the Charter of the United Nations and the norms of international
conduct;
"Calls upon Israel to refrain in the future from any such acts or
threats thereof;
"Further considers that the said attack constitutes a serious threat
to the entire IAEA safeguards regime which is the foundation of the
non-proliferation Treaty;
"Fully recognizes the inalienable sovereign right of Iraq, and all
other States, especially the developing countries, to establish
programs of technological and nuclear development to develop their
economy and industry for peaceful purposes in accordance with their
present and future needs and consistent with the internationally
accepted objectives of preventing nuclear-weapons proliferation."
The Israelis paid no attention to UNSCR 487, or any of the dozens of
other resolutions passed over the years, all of them approved by the
United States, all critical of Israeli actions, all calling upon them
to refrain from such acts in the future.

Of course, largely as a result of the actions by Bush-Cheney, the NPT
– which guaranteed "inalienable" rights to signatories and provided an
associated IAEA regime for ensuring that all Safeguarded programs were
for peaceful purposes – has not merely been "threatened," it has been
turned on its head.

In particular, back in 2004, the Paris Accord negotiations were
undertaken by the Iranians with the Brits-French-Germans in the hope
they could obtain "objective guarantees" that the EU would defy the
United States, would reestablish normal diplomatic and trade
relations, and would, inter alia, respect both Iran's NPT
"inalienable" rights and European NPT obligations.

On March 23, 2005, the Iranians made a confidential proposal to the EU
wherein the Iranians offered to forgo indefinitely the chemical
processing of spent fuel to recover unspent uranium and plutonium, and
to limit their uranium-enrichment activities to meeting contingency
refueling requirements for Iranian nuclear power plants, planned and
under construction.

The Iranians also offered to submit to "continuous on-site presence of
IAEA inspectors at the conversion and enrichment facilities to provide
unprecedented added guarantees."

Bush-Cheney-Rice-Bolton didn’t allow the Brits-French-Germans to even
acknowledge the confidential offer, much less respond to it.
When the Iranians got no response, they declared the Paris Accord
negotiations at an end. Bush promptly went ballistic, strong-armed the
IAEA Board into demanding – quite illegally – that Iran return to the
Paris Accord negotiating table. Or else.

When that didn't work, Bush strong-armed the IAEA Board into
"reporting" the Iranian "dossier" to the UN Security Council, hoping
the Security Council would demand that Iran return to the Paris Accord
negotiating table. Or else.

That didn't work either.

So finally, Bush strong-armed the UN Security Council, itself, into –
quite illegally – passing a series of resolutions, effectively
requiring Iran to "suspend" indefinitely all its IAEA Safeguarded
programs.

Or else!

Well, little wonder the Iranians bought and installed around their
IAEA Safeguarded facilities the Russian Tor-M1 anti-aircraft defense
systems.

But then, in September of 2007, the Israelis attacked and destroyed
what they claimed was a plutonium-producing reactor, being built by
the North Koreans out in the Syrian desert.
There have been reports that whatever was there was also defended by a
Russian Tor-M1 anti-aircraft defense system, and that the principal
reason for the attack was to check out the effectiveness – or lack,
thereof – of the Iranian system.

So, the Russians agreed last year to sell the Iranians – and perhaps,
also, the Syrians – their basic "export version" of the more capable
S-300 anti-aircraft defense system. The truck-mounted S-300 is roughly
comparable to our Patriot, which is supposed to be effective against
high-flying aircraft and certain types of ballistic missiles.
Then, this past June, Israel carried out a large-scale military
"exercise" in the Mediterranean as a "warning" to Iran that it had
"the capacity to make an air strike on its nuclear facilities."

Reportedly, an important objective of the "exercise" was to check out
the effectiveness – or lack, thereof – of the "export version" of the
Russian S-300 sited on Cyprus.
Well, apparently the Israelis satisfied themselves that Russian system
wasn’t effective, either.

But, then came the revelation that the Israelis had apparently secured
the rights to launch their attack against Iran’s safeguarded
facilities from airfields in Saakashvilli’s Georgia.

Well, that did it.

So, there’s talk the Russians will now provide Iran the S-400 defense
system. According to the Russians, that vastly upgraded (over the
S-300 "export version") system is capable of detecting and engaging
targets (including stealth aircraft, cruise missiles and medium-range
ballistic missile) out to a range of 250 miles.
You can see how the Iranians having such defenses might constitute
what the Israelis would consider a "disturbance in the balance of
power."